Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 74.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 61.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Zacha
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
50.7% (144)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
50.0% (2)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
50.0% (10)
-5.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lafferty
Home
53.4% (406)
53.2% (62)
Away
52.9% (333)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Zacha
Lafferty
P1
56.8%
53.3%
P2
53.6%
46.7%
P3
49.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |