Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.1%). Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Aho 53.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 53.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 54.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Zacha
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Zacha
Aho
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Zacha
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
0
Zacha
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
Zacha
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
51.2% (785)
+2.7%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
63.8% (213)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
57.9% (57)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Zacha
Aho
Home
56.7% (538)
54.9% (548)
Away
52.8% (530)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Zacha
Aho
P1
52.6%
52.8%
P2
54.8%
58.9%
P3
56.8%
50.6%
OT
59.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |