Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 79.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 58.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Zacha
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zacha
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Zacha
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
56.1% (342)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
53.3% (92)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
62.5% (8)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Zacha
Stamkos
Home
51.7% (410)
53.4% (208)
Away
52.2% (408)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Zacha
Stamkos
P1
57.7%
55.6%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
50.2%
59.1%
OT
35.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |