Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 65.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Zacha
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zacha
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
49.3% (789)
-1.3%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
56.9% (181)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
54.1% (98)
-4.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Zacha
Stamkos
Home
48.9% (223)
52.0% (512)
Away
51.9% (154)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Zacha
Stamkos
P1
47.9%
42.1%
P2
48.3%
56.4%
P3
54.3%
53.7%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |