Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 65.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 58.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Zacha
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
49.3% (670)
+4.8%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
53.7% (121)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
33.3% (3)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Zacha
Stamkos
Home
53.4% (406)
54.0% (400)
Away
52.9% (333)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Zacha
Stamkos
P1
56.8%
48.6%
P2
53.6%
54.5%
P3
49.2%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |