Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Hertl 52.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Zacha
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Zacha
Hertl
Last 6: Zacha 4-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Zacha
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
51.6% (1,084)
-3.6%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
61.0% (246)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
44.1% (136)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Zacha shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hertl
Home
48.9% (223)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.9% (154)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Zacha
Hertl
P1
47.9%
55.4%
P2
48.3%
54.8%
P3
54.3%
48.9%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Hertl
58.0%▬
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |