Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 53.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Zacha
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
54.1% (1,117)
-8.8%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
59.8% (296)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
34.4% (32)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Zacha shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hertl
Home
39.7% (131)
54.3% (709)
Away
49.7% (165)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Zacha
Hertl
P1
42.9%
51.6%
P2
46.4%
53.6%
P3
42.3%
58.6%
OT
87.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.8%