Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Johnston 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 57.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Zacha
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Zacha
Johnston
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Zacha
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
6
7
Zacha
Johnston
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
49.3% (2,189)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
52.6% (173)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
44.7% (237)
-2.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnston
Home
49.7% (3,353)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Zacha
Johnston
P1
49.9%
50.1%
P2
49.2%
48.3%
P3
48.1%
48.8%
OT
53.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |