Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 93.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 87.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 89.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Paul
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Paul
Krebs
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
2
Paul
Krebs
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
1
Paul
Krebs
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
4
5
Paul
Krebs
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
46.0% (2,159)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
52.5% (99)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
38.6% (171)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Paul shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Paul
Krebs
Home
52.7% (2,412)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Paul
Krebs
P1
53.9%
45.9%
P2
51.0%
46.4%
P3
52.0%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |