Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 49.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 80.4%
Neutral zone
Krebs 57.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Krebs
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Krebs
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Krebs
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (560)
54.1% (717)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
61.9% (210)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
58.1% (31)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Krebs shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hertl
Home
49.4% (314)
58.1% (492)
Away
48.7% (351)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Krebs
Hertl
P1
47.0%
57.1%
P2
50.5%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |