Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Hertl 57.2% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 76.7%
Defensive zone
Krebs 77.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Krebs
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Krebs
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Krebs
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
58.1% (823)
-13.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
56.2% (265)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
62.9% (35)
-17.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Krebs shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hertl
Home
46.8% (188)
59.7% (561)
Away
42.4% (224)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Krebs
Hertl
P1
47.2%
51.6%
P2
44.9%
63.8%
P3
41.1%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |