Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krebs wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Hertl 54.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Krebs
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Krebs
Hertl
Last 10: Krebs 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Krebs
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Krebs
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
4
0
Krebs
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,159)
53.8% (8,268)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
59.3% (1,975)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
46.3% (806)
-7.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Krebs shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hertl
Home
45.7% (1,182)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Krebs
Hertl
P1
45.9%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
55.3%
OT
57.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |