Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 45.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (-10.4%)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 55.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 65.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kurashev
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (113)
51.6% (1,084)
-8.2%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
61.0% (246)
-36.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kurashev is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Kurashev shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Hertl
Home
48.3% (58)
55.2% (696)
Away
36.5% (63)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Kurashev
Hertl
P1
30.8%
55.4%
P2
44.2%
54.8%
P3
55.2%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
31.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%