Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 30.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.9% vs Hertl 57.2% (-14.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 59.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kurashev
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (46)
58.1% (823)
-8.1%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
56.2% (265)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
62.9% (35)
-62.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Kurashev shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Hertl
Home
37.5% (40)
59.7% (561)
Away
48.7% (39)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Kurashev
Hertl
P1
48.6%
51.6%
P2
40.0%
63.8%
P3
37.9%
58.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%