Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.6% vs Hertl 54.5% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.1%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 52.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kurashev
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (145)
54.1% (1,117)
-11.3%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
59.8% (296)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
34.4% (32)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kurashev is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Kurashev shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Hertl
Home
51.2% (82)
54.3% (709)
Away
39.8% (108)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Kurashev
Hertl
P1
51.7%
51.6%
P2
45.7%
53.6%
P3
37.0%
58.6%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%