Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 48.0% vs Hertl 55.4% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.9%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Kurashev
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (184)
54.1% (717)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
61.9% (210)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kurashev is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Kurashev shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Hertl
Home
44.4% (63)
58.1% (492)
Away
48.3% (143)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kurashev
Hertl
P1
53.8%
57.1%
P2
38.7%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%