Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Danault 52.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 75.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 93.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 66.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Tkachuk
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
13
(30 meetings)
17
13
Tkachuk
Danault
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
14
1
Tkachuk
Danault
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
8
Tkachuk
Danault
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
4
Tkachuk
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
55.1% (720)
-6.6%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
50.0% (20)
-3.3%
On even strength, Danault has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Tkachuk shoots left. Danault is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Danault
Home
50.7% (136)
54.5% (442)
Away
43.4% (113)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Tkachuk
Danault
P1
45.9%
53.8%
P2
54.4%
54.2%
P3
42.2%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |