Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Danault 55.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 74.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 66.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Pavelski
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pavelski
Danault
Last 8: Pavelski 2-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
5
Pavelski
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
54.8% (1,222)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
81.6% (49)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
54.3% (317)
-12.6%
On power play, Danault has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Pavelski shoots right. Danault is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Danault
Home
55.2% (458)
56.2% (770)
Away
51.4% (531)
54.9% (818)
By Period
Pavelski
Danault
P1
54.0%
52.5%
P2
54.5%
57.9%
P3
50.5%
55.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |