Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Danault 51.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 72.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Tavares
Danault
Last 9: Tavares 8-1 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
0
Tavares
Danault
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
52.6% (895)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
55.7% (97)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
45.5% (165)
-2.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
57.5% (668)
54.0% (581)
Away
61.1% (684)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
58.0%
53.7%
P2
60.1%
55.3%
P3
61.0%
46.5%
OT
27.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |