Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Danault wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.0% vs Aho 51.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 63.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Danault
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Danault
Aho
Last 10: Danault 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
8
Danault
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
5
0
Danault
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (953)
48.5% (778)
+6.6%
Power Play
64.6% (144)
63.4% (191)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (176)
50.8% (65)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Danault shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Danault
Aho
Home
55.4% (641)
51.3% (530)
Away
53.3% (632)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Danault
Aho
P1
61.0%
50.0%
P2
52.3%
51.3%
P3
51.3%
52.1%
OT
35.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | OT | 03:14 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |