Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Aho 54.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 79.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 61.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Danault
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Danault
Aho
Last 10: Danault 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Danault
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
6
0
Danault
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
54.5% (870)
-2.1%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
62.4% (266)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
37.1% (62)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Danault
Aho
Home
51.2% (605)
53.9% (603)
Away
53.2% (611)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Danault
Aho
P1
53.1%
54.1%
P2
49.8%
55.0%
P3
54.3%
57.4%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
52.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |