Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Aho 50.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 64.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 95.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 84.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Danault
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Danault
Aho
Last 10: Danault 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
5
4
Danault
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
6
1
Danault
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
5
2
Danault
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
49.9% (851)
+6.6%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
53.5% (144)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
43.3% (60)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Danault
Aho
Home
57.0% (379)
53.2% (554)
Away
54.0% (498)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Danault
Aho
P1
55.8%
49.1%
P2
55.3%
50.8%
P3
54.8%
49.7%
OT
55.6%
58.8%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | OT | 00:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |