Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Aho 53.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 67.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Danault
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Danault
Aho
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
4
2
Danault
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Danault
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
51.2% (785)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
63.8% (213)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
57.9% (57)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Danault shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Danault
Aho
Home
54.0% (581)
54.9% (548)
Away
49.7% (576)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Danault
Aho
P1
53.7%
52.8%
P2
55.3%
58.9%
P3
46.5%
50.6%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |