Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubois wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 67.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 84.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Dubois
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dubois
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (842)
53.9% (521)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
57.1% (35)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
51.5% (229)
+4.1%
On even strength, Carrick has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dubois is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Dubois shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Dubois
Carrick
Home
51.0% (445)
52.7% (408)
Away
48.3% (441)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Dubois
Carrick
P1
50.3%
51.4%
P2
49.5%
56.6%
P3
49.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |