Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Carrick 53.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 63.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Dubois
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dubois
Carrick
Last 6: Dubois 3-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
0
Dubois
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Dubois
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Dubois
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
53.8% (654)
-4.0%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
0.0% (2)
+46.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
63.9% (36)
-10.6%
On power play, Dubois has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dubois is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Dubois shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Dubois
Carrick
Home
48.3% (582)
50.0% (328)
Away
51.1% (579)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Dubois
Carrick
P1
52.0%
56.7%
P2
49.9%
51.1%
P3
46.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |