Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 85.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 59.1%
Neutral zone
Dubois 70.1%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Dubois
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dubois
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Dubois
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Dubois
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (225)
55.1% (439)
-8.9%
Power Play
66.7% (27)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
49.1% (53)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dubois is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Dubois shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Dubois
Carrick
Home
46.6% (163)
58.2% (225)
Away
53.6% (97)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Dubois
Carrick
P1
45.0%
56.7%
P2
52.3%
52.8%
P3
50.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |