Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Dubois wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 46.7% vs Hertl 54.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 65.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 69.2%
Neutral zone
Dubois 67.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Dubois
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
30
(55 meetings)
25
30
Dubois
Hertl
Last 10: Dubois 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
13
6
Dubois
Hertl
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
15
Dubois
Hertl
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
9
Dubois
Hertl
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (7,002)
53.8% (8,268)
-7.6%
Power Play
51.3% (606)
59.3% (1,975)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (108)
46.3% (806)
+1.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Dubois shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Dubois
Hertl
Home
47.9% (3,872)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.4% (3,844)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Dubois
Hertl
P1
47.6%
53.6%
P2
45.6%
54.1%
P3
46.8%
55.3%
OT
48.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |