Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Suter 43.3% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 91.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 91.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Matthews
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Suter
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Suter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
42.4% (740)
+15.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
48.0% (75)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
37.3% (59)
+13.4%
On even strength, Matthews has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suter
Home
59.1% (528)
41.8% (407)
Away
55.1% (695)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Matthews
Suter
P1
56.2%
44.7%
P2
58.1%
41.5%
P3
56.4%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |