Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Faksa 55.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.0%
Defensive zone
Faksa 58.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Larkin
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Larkin
Faksa
Last 7: Larkin 1-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
3
Larkin
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
Larkin
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
56.7% (413)
-3.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
56.3% (16)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
53.7% (123)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Larkin
Faksa
Home
56.6% (700)
56.3% (261)
Away
52.1% (655)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Larkin
Faksa
P1
55.4%
58.6%
P2
54.7%
55.0%
P3
52.7%
55.0%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |