Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.8%). Faksa wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 55.1% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 55.1%
Neutral zone
Faksa 52.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Faksa
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Faksa
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Faksa
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (413)
56.1% (690)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
64.6% (96)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
45.9% (109)
+7.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Faksa shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Faksa
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (261)
58.3% (408)
Away
55.7% (291)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Faksa
O'Reilly
P1
58.6%
57.7%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
55.0%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |