Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Faksa wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 56.2% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 78.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Faksa
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Faksa
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Faksa
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
1
Faksa
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (671)
56.2% (983)
+0.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
55.5% (254)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (80)
52.0% (102)
+3.0%
On power play, Faksa has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Faksa shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Faksa
O'Reilly
Home
59.5% (375)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.6% (383)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Faksa
O'Reilly
P1
61.2%
54.5%
P2
54.5%
55.5%
P3
55.5%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |