Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Kupari wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 44.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 73.2%
Defensive zone
Kupari 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kupari 69.5%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Kupari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kupari
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kupari
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kupari
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (275)
56.6% (1,064)
-13.7%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
60.4% (260)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
54.0% (261)
-11.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kupari is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Kupari shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Kupari
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (163)
54.9% (801)
Away
37.9% (140)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Kupari
O'Reilly
P1
38.7%
58.0%
P2
42.5%
56.7%
P3
47.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
41.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |