Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kupari 57.5%
Neutral zone
Kupari 52.5%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kupari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kupari
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kupari 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Kupari
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
5
1
Kupari
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kupari
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.7%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
58.8% (3,445)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
51.4% (2,811)
-1.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Kupari shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Kupari
O'Reilly
Home
51.4% (782)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.2% (655)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kupari
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
55.6%
P2
48.5%
57.0%
P3
52.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |