Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 47.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kupari 82.6%
Neutral zone
Kupari 65.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kupari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kupari
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kupari
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (144)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.8% (303)
-56.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (22)
40.3% (149)
+5.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kupari is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Kupari shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Kupari
O'Reilly
Home
48.3% (87)
54.8% (759)
Away
45.0% (80)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kupari
O'Reilly
P1
48.5%
55.3%
P2
41.3%
51.9%
P3
49.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
46.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |