Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Kupari wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 53.7% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 80.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kupari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kupari
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
0
Kupari
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (379)
56.1% (690)
-2.5%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
64.6% (96)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
45.9% (109)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Kupari shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Kupari
O'Reilly
Home
55.5% (245)
58.3% (408)
Away
53.2% (158)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Kupari
O'Reilly
P1
58.8%
57.7%
P2
47.8%
54.8%
P3
57.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |