Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 44.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Greig
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (103)
54.1% (1,117)
-15.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
59.8% (296)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
34.4% (32)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Greig shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Greig
Hertl
Home
37.7% (53)
54.3% (709)
Away
41.1% (56)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Greig
Hertl
P1
41.7%
51.6%
P2
39.3%
53.6%
P3
37.8%
58.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%