Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 53.8% vs Hertl 55.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 79.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Greig
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Greig
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (280)
54.1% (717)
-0.5%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
61.9% (210)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (69)
58.1% (31)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Greig shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Greig
Hertl
Home
56.2% (185)
58.1% (492)
Away
53.3% (195)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Greig
Hertl
P1
52.8%
57.1%
P2
51.6%
54.0%
P3
59.5%
56.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |