Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Thomas 49.9% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 64.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 61.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
McBain
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McBain
Thomas
Last 5: McBain 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McBain
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McBain
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
McBain
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
49.0% (910)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
53.3% (75)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McBain is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
McBain shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
McBain
Thomas
Home
33.8% (68)
47.3% (514)
Away
34.3% (35)
52.0% (613)
By Period
McBain
Thomas
P1
40.6%
50.4%
P2
40.5%
47.5%
P3
20.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |