Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). McBain wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 77.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 85.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 72.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
McBain
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
McBain
Thomas
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
9
McBain
Thomas
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
McBain
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
5
McBain
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,257)
51.1% (5,274)
-3.1%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
55.9% (909)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (304)
50.1% (677)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McBain is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (979).
McBain shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,828).
Home / Away
McBain
Thomas
Home
48.8% (1,321)
50.9% (3,457)
Away
44.1% (1,289)
52.3% (3,403)
By Period
McBain
Thomas
P1
46.2%
50.7%
P2
47.4%
52.9%
P3
45.8%
50.8%
OT
42.9%
59.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.5%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |