Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Thomas 54.5% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 75.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 71.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Roy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Roy
Thomas
Last 9: Roy 2-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Roy
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Roy
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
55.3% (990)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
54.2% (190)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
52.5% (158)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Roy shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Roy
Thomas
Home
49.3% (345)
55.1% (690)
Away
46.4% (433)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Roy
Thomas
P1
47.6%
55.5%
P2
47.1%
56.4%
P3
47.9%
51.5%
OT
75.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |