Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Thomas wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Hartman 44.0% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 77.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 77.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Thomas
Hartman
Last 9: Thomas 6-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Thomas
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
1
Thomas
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
42.6% (495)
+11.0%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
38.5% (26)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
48.8% (43)
-4.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
53.6% (606)
43.4% (288)
Away
52.2% (615)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
48.2%
43.1%
P2
55.3%
43.4%
P3
55.2%
42.0%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |