Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Thomas wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Hartman 47.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 76.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 85.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Thomas
Hartman
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
3
Thomas
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
4
Thomas
Hartman
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
7
2
Thomas
Hartman
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
47.1% (649)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
47.1% (68)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
45.2% (73)
+3.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
51.6% (830)
46.5% (361)
Away
54.7% (819)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
52.7%
45.1%
P2
55.6%
44.4%
P3
50.6%
50.9%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |