Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Hartman 48.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Thomas
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Thomas
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
48.1% (520)
+7.2%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
44.7% (47)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
47.8% (23)
+4.7%
On power play, Thomas has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
55.1% (690)
48.3% (360)
Away
54.5% (648)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
55.5%
48.5%
P2
56.4%
45.2%
P3
51.5%
49.6%
OT
69.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |