Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Hartman 45.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Thomas
Hartman
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
5
Thomas
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
44.8% (830)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
47.8% (92)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
37.5% (16)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
51.9% (374)
45.0% (515)
Away
51.9% (453)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
49.2%
46.5%
P2
55.3%
39.9%
P3
50.6%
48.6%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |