Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs McLeod 50.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 56.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Thomas
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thomas
McLeod
Last 5: Thomas 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Thomas
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
51.3% (628)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
68.3% (41)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
30.6% (49)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Thomas
McLeod
Home
51.6% (830)
51.5% (394)
Away
54.7% (819)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Thomas
McLeod
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
55.6%
47.0%
P3
50.6%
54.3%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |