Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs McLeod 47.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 68.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 65.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Thomas
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thomas
McLeod
Last 8: Thomas 5-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
49.2% (796)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
44.8% (87)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
43.3% (263)
+9.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Thomas
McLeod
Home
51.9% (374)
49.2% (575)
Away
51.9% (453)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Thomas
McLeod
P1
49.2%
52.8%
P2
55.3%
45.1%
P3
50.6%
45.6%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |