Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs McLeod 49.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 72.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 55.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 59.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Thomas
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Thomas
McLeod
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
12
3
Thomas
McLeod
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
Thomas
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Thomas
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
50.4% (3,345)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
51.0% (292)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
44.3% (635)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Thomas
McLeod
Home
50.9% (3,458)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Thomas
McLeod
P1
50.6%
50.8%
P2
52.9%
48.4%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
59.2%
37.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |