Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs McLeod 52.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 69.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Thomas
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thomas
McLeod
Last 6: Thomas 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Thomas
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Thomas
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
52.9% (904)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
57.6% (59)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
49.0% (241)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Thomas
McLeod
Home
55.1% (690)
51.8% (612)
Away
54.5% (648)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Thomas
McLeod
P1
55.5%
55.4%
P2
56.4%
50.8%
P3
51.5%
51.6%
OT
69.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |