Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Thomas 44.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Thomas 71.3%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Neutral zone Thomas 58.5%
Result Robert Thomas favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Thomas Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Thomas Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Thomas 3-4 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Thomas Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Thomas Nugent-Hopkins
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (297)
52.1% (351)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
57.1% (14)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
35.9% (39)
+39.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +39.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
40.9% (186)
50.0% (198)
Away
45.8% (131)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.3%
52.1%
P2
40.6%
48.8%
P3
45.3%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%
47.0%
42.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 18, 2019 3 10:30 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 18, 2019 3 07:50 Defensive Robert Thomas
Dec 18, 2019 3 05:10 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 18, 2019 2 08:04 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 18, 2019 1 05:33 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 6, 2019 2 10:03 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 6, 2019 2 09:59 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins