Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
18
(41 meetings)
23
18
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
15
4
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
8
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
6
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
44.9% (8,756)
+6.2%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
50.7% (839)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
37.9% (879)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.9% (3,458)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.6%
45.1%
P2
52.9%
43.9%
P3
50.8%
45.3%
OT
59.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |